Forge
Published in

Forge

Good Decision-Making Depends on an ‘Archer’s Mindset’

A professional poker player’s advice for optimizing outcomes

Woman aiming with a bow and arrow at a target.
Photo: hobo_018/Getty Images

Most decisions are ultimately a guess. You can’t be certain that anything you do will lead to a specific outcome, and you can’t know the exact likelihood of any outcome at all. Part of becoming a better decision-maker is shifting your mindset about guessing.

--

--

--

A publication from Medium on personal development.

Recommended from Medium

Works of Brilliance Come From Great Processes, Not Great Ideas

Digital generated image of abstract multi colored donut/pie chart on pastel green background.

Money and Myth: Supporting Local Food Systems to Reinvent the Economy

A Low-Effort Way to Break an Anxious Rut

Young Black man closing his eyes with a peaceful expression.

101 Essays That Will Change The Way You Think

4 Key Principles to Structure Strategic Thinking

‘Are You Just a Plaything of Nature?’ Amina Ross on the Politics of Beauty

Interview: How Carrie Mae Weems Takes Up Space

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store
Annie Duke

Annie Duke

Author of Thinking in Bets and How to Decide. Co-founder of The Alliance for Decision Education

More from Medium

Homo Sapiens Interruptus

From smart city to [resilient] data-driven city

Want to be More Persuasive at Work? Master These 5 Strategies

Making the most of data science teams